Prediction markets for financial events

Trade what you think happens next

Will gold close higher today? Will oil finish the session down? On Prediva you pick a side, you see the price, and you know your maximum loss before you click.

Start on PredivaSee how it works
  • Payout shown upfront
  • 0.1% per trade
  • Settles on public price data
Gold Up or DownExample market · settles 21:00 UTC
LIVE
60%chance Up
Up $0.60Down $0.41

Demo card with simulated movement.

Win = $1 per contract
Max loss known upfront
Example
Gold · todayUp 59%Silver · todayUp 63%WTI Crude OilDown 92%Natural GasDown 58%Largest company, Dec 2026 · NVIDIAYes 63%EUR/USD · 5 minUp 51%Gold · todayUp 59%Silver · todayUp 63%WTI Crude OilDown 92%Natural GasDown 58%Largest company, Dec 2026 · NVIDIAYes 63%EUR/USD · 5 minUp 51%
Markets

Questions about prices, with clear answers

Every market asks one simple question about a financial asset. It has a fixed expiry and a public data source that decides the result.

Commodities

Gold, silver, WTI crude oil and natural gas. Up or Down by the close.

Forex

Major currency pairs such as EUR/USD, including short time frames.

Stocks & indices

Big companies and benchmarks, for example which company ends the year largest.

Crypto

Price moves of the major coins over set periods.

More topicsSOON

Culture, tech and science markets are marked as coming soon on the platform.

How it works

Four steps from idea to result

Most of the action happens in step three: you can close early instead of waiting for expiry.

  1. 1

    Pick a market

    For example: will gold close higher today than yesterday? Rules and expiry are written on the market page.

  2. 2

    Choose Up or Down

    Buy contracts at the current price. $0.60 means the market sees roughly a 60% chance.

  3. 3

    Hold or sell early

    The price follows the underlying asset. Lock in a gain or cut a loss whenever there's a bid.

  4. 4

    Automatic settlement

    At expiry the result comes from a public source. Winning contracts pay $1, losing ones $0.

Payout calculator

See the math before you trade

Move the price and change the amount. The price of a contract is also the market's estimate of the chance.

Contracts you get100
If your side wins$100.00+$65.00
If it doesn't$0.00−$35.00
Implied chance

Before the 0.1% trade commission. Illustration only, not an offer or a forecast.

Open a market
Why Prediva

Simple contracts, risk you can see

$1 / $0Every contract settles at one of two values. No hidden multipliers.
0.1%Commission per trade, taken from the trade volume.
UpfrontPayout and maximum loss are shown before you open a position.
Exit anytimeSell your contracts before expiry at the current price.
Transparency

Who is on the other side of your trade

Prices and liquidity on Prediva come from the Market Maker, an independent third party with the relevant licences. It acts as your counterparty, may take the opposite side of your trade and can profit or lose from it.

Prediva is the technology platform. It doesn't act as your counterparty, and neither Prediva nor the Market Maker gives investment advice.

  • Each market names its data source. For commodity Up or Down markets that's Pyth price feeds.
  • If the two compared prices are exactly equal, the market resolves 50-50.
  • Disputes can be raised with support within 3 days of resolution.
How it works

Reading the order book

PriceContractsTotal
$0.63120$75.60
$0.6285$52.70
$0.6140$24.40
Spread $0.04 · Mid $0.59
$0.5735$19.95
$0.5690$50.40
$0.55140$77.00

Red rows are offers to sell to you. The lowest one ($0.61) is what you'd pay to buy right now.

Green rows are bids. The highest one ($0.57) is what you'd get if you sold right now.

Spread is the gap between them. Smaller is better for you.

Contracts shows how many are available at each price, so you can see whether a bigger order would move the price.

Example order book with made-up numbers. On Prediva, prices and liquidity are provided by the Market Maker.
Get started

Ready in a few minutes

  1. 1

    Create an account

    Sign up on prediva.org. You need to be 18+ and live where event contracts are allowed.

  2. 2

    Pass the basic checks

    They run automatically at sign-up. Withdrawals over USD 1,000 need full verification. What to prepare.

  3. 3

    Fund your account

    Use a payment method registered in your own name.

  4. 4

    Start small

    Try a market you understand and watch how prices move before you size up.

Before every trade

  • I can say in one sentence why the price looks off.
  • My estimate is at least 10 points away from the price.
  • I've read the market rules: expiry and price source.
  • The spread is a few cents at most.
  • This position is under 5% of my trading money.
  • I'd be fine if it went to zero.

Six yeses, go ahead. Anything else, wait for the next market.

18+

Predicting on Prediva involves risk and may not be suitable for everyone. You may lose the full amount committed to a transaction, including fees. Only use money you can afford to lose. Risk disclosure.

FAQ

Questions people ask

What is Prediva?
Prediva is a prediction market platform where you trade event contracts on financial outcomes, such as whether gold or oil closes higher or lower at a set time.
How much does a winning contract pay?
Each winning contract settles at $1 and each losing contract at $0. If a market resolves 50-50, each side settles at $0.50.
How much can I lose?
When you buy a contract, the most you can lose is what you paid for it plus the commission. The maximum loss is shown before you trade.
Can I close a position before expiry?
Yes. You can sell your contracts at the current price whenever there's a bid in the order book.
What does it cost?
A commission of 0.1% of the trade volume is charged on each trade. Payment providers may charge their own deposit or withdrawal fees, shown on the platform.
Who can use Prediva?
Adults aged 18 or over in countries where event contracts are allowed. Prediva is not available to residents of the USA, the United Kingdom, EU member states or FATF blacklisted countries.

Your view, your trade

Pick a market you follow, start with a small amount and see how it feels.

Go to Prediva