Risk disclosure

Last updated: October 2, 2026

Predicting on Prediva involves risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Please read this before you trade.

You can lose what you put in

Each contract settles at $1 or $0. If the market settles against you, you lose the full amount paid for those contracts, plus the commission. Only use money you can afford to lose.

Counterparty risk

Your trades are executed with an independent Market Maker that provides prices and liquidity. The Market Maker may profit when you lose, and its interests can conflict with yours. If the Market Maker became insolvent or defaulted, your positions and funds could be affected. Prediva has arrangements designed to reduce this risk but does not guarantee the Market Maker's performance.

Prices move fast

Contract prices follow the underlying asset and can change sharply in minutes. The spread can widen, and you may not always be able to sell at the price you expect.

Costs

A 0.1% commission applies to each trade. Payment providers may add their own fees. Frequent trading adds up.

No advice

Information on prediva.org and prediva.com is general and provided "as is". It isn't investment, financial or legal advice. All decisions are your own. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Legal restrictions

Trading event contracts is not allowed everywhere. Prediva is not available to residents of the USA, the United Kingdom, EU member states or FATF blacklisted countries. It's your responsibility to check the law where you live.

Play it safe

• Set a budget before you start and stick to it.
• Don't try to win back losses with bigger trades.
• Take breaks. If trading stops being fun or affects your finances or relationships, stop and talk to someone you trust or a local support service.

18+

Prediva is only for adults aged 18 or over, or the age of majority where you live if higher.